Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 94.558421 105.224125 116.092456 127.965393 140.540705 153.434729 167.626171
2025-03-02 77.886024 93.252372 109.562345 128.041641 148.280400 169.663866 193.857481
2025-03-09 68.040733 86.081377 105.812253 128.748173 154.443022 182.128090 214.003371
2025-03-16 59.189825 78.897537 101.059269 127.419670 157.537874 190.531745 229.072909
2025-03-23 53.791891 75.044747 99.519831 129.192646 163.639806 201.875068 247.044237
2025-03-30 49.472913 72.020352 98.560382 131.290334 169.819726 213.071755 264.656527
2025-04-06 44.272451 67.471110 95.417083 130.492510 172.368215 219.906888 277.135811
2025-04-13 38.787726 62.127426 90.945845 127.782450 172.393961 223.608877 285.833077
2025-04-20 37.039456 61.446055 92.102538 131.776382 180.283439 236.381559 304.946906
2025-04-27 34.807512 59.940353 92.081815 134.210347 186.218189 246.810188 321.309108
2025-05-04 31.480900 56.706807 89.662871 133.502163 188.222039 252.506692 332.072335
2025-05-11 28.313497 53.459898 87.040665 132.378671 189.588624 257.346269 341.749735
2025-05-18 26.142927 51.519707 86.078963 133.346799 193.552887 265.352656 355.275589
2025-05-25 23.752986 49.083782 84.325262 133.196869 196.060599 271.568824 366.663817
2025-06-01 21.886515 47.290242 83.338011 133.956328 199.639632 279.034511 379.512141
2025-06-08 19.503609 44.503585 80.828963 132.590056 200.439205 283.046264 388.167520
2025-06-15 18.287890 43.484629 80.745176 134.406751 205.258456 291.963851 402.729895
2025-06-22 17.260790 42.694874 80.935553 136.554676 210.480316 301.369697 417.889511
2025-06-29 15.497979 40.518152 79.006818 135.737752 211.812129 305.921099 427.126941
2025-07-06 13.389913 37.536741 75.742039 132.962383 210.499352 307.109693 432.204684
2025-07-13 13.122390 37.849950 77.417891 137.052371 218.189281 319.565433 451.100650
2025-07-20 12.494872 37.443786 77.966860 139.544301 223.767015 329.375426 466.763529
2025-07-27 11.191434 35.637355 76.279687 138.819295 225.042475 333.741476 475.708408